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Petey's
Pipeline E-zine
Issue #48
March 19, 2007
Contents
Business
First Market
Mayhem
Random Ramblings & Miscellaneous Musings
National SecuritySafe
or Sorry: Border Security
Write Thinking Punctuation
the Marks of Professionals (The Dash)
Business
First (Editorial)
Market
Mayhem
In
issue #22 (January 2, 2006)
I warned what would happen to real estate investors if the real
estate market suddenly went south. Well, the real estate market
is heading south, and what I predicted to happen is happening.
Countrywide
Financial, the nation's largest mortgage lender, reports that
some 20 percent of sub-prime loans are now more than 60 days
late, and that throughout non-sub-prime mortgage markets the
frequency of late payments is on an upward trend.
When
sub-prime mortgagees get hit with increased monthly payments
they can't afford, they're at serious risk of losing their homes.
While I don't have the actual figures that reveal the number
of people adversely affected by the real estate market downturn,
I suspect that the number is substantial.
How
might this affect the overall economy?
Look
for downturns throughout the construction industry. As purse
strings tighten, look for diminishing retail sales and cutbacks
in manufacturing, which in turn will lead to rising unemployment.
Look for even more mortgage defaults. Look for rent increases
due to higher demand for available rental units.
And
finally, look for more homeless peoplecoming soon to a
neighborhood near yours.
• • •
For
an occasional dose of insight and opinion, read Petey's
Pipeline Blog.
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Let's not defeat that purpose by being hasty or becoming careless.
Random
Ramblings & Miscellaneous Musings
National
SecuritySafe or Sorry: Border
Security
by Phil Hanson
The
downside to living in a democratically governed nation that
touts personal freedom as its crowning achievement is thatby
intent and designthe nation's borders remain relatively
open compared to those of nations governed by more oppressive/repressive
regimes. However, freedom comes at a price, and the price is
paid with money, with personal sacrifice, and with elevated
risk to one's personal safety. The sad realities of freedom
and security are that neither of them live up to the hype; we
are neither as free nor as secure as we imagine.
U.S.
citizens, since 9/11, have grown increasingly more concerned
about their personal safety than they are about their personal
freedom, and many would gladly sacrifice their privacy and much
of their freedom for what they suppose are larger measures of
safety and security. The truth is that life is inherently riskyyou
can never be 100% safe.
No
matter how tightly you seal the borders, no matter what safeguards
you put in place, a sufficiently motivated person can find a
way around, under, over oryes!even through them.
There has never been a security measure that a combination of
imagination, time, technology, money and planning couldn't breach.
Only
by considering the total length of U.S borders can you begin
to understand the enormous difficulties associated with defending
those borders against terrorist incursions. The U.S. shares
the world's longest border between countries with Canadaabout
4000 miles of mostly rugged, desolate terrain. To the south,
the U.S. Mexico borderat about 2,000 miles in lengthis
also rugged and desolate. Now, add in more than 12,000 miles
of Arctic (Alaska), Atlantic, Gulf and Pacific coastlines and
you begin to fully appreciate the range and scope of problems
posed by border defense.
That
terrorists might arrive via air, land, or sea further complicates
the problem of defending borders, as do forged documents and
false identities. It would seem that, with so many options available
to them, terrorists have the upper hand, but that's not necessarily
the case. Good intelligence and good communications are keys
to a good defense. Advanced technology, superior weaponry and
highly trained personnel complete an effective national defense
package.
Some
will argue that the best defense is a good offense, but aggressor
nations aren't always looked upon favorably by their alliesand
certainly not by their foes. Preemptive strikes are the hallmarks
of cowards and bullies, and completely unwarranted where a threat
is less than imminent.
A
case in point is the U.S. invasion and occupation of Iraq, a
misadventure that's draining the national treasury, dividing
the country, and creating ill will around the world. Lacking
coherent strategies for winning or for extricating ourselves
from that mess, we seem to be in it for the long haul. Only
oil companies and war profiteers can hope to profit from it;
everyone else loses.
A
better post-9/11 strategy would have been to beef up security
at airports, shipping ports, rail terminals, critical infrastructure,
and vital industries. For what we've spent on the Iraq debacle,
we could have funded a larger, well-equipped Coast Guard, border
guards, and a fully prepared National Guard ready to defend
this country here, not deployed as an ill-prepared assault
force in the Middle East.
Perhaps
we won't win the hearts and minds of the Arab peoples by extending
the hand of friendship through diplomacy, economic incentives,
and better foreign policy, but it's worth a try. We Americans
see ourselves as the good guys, buttrust me on thismany
of the world's people see us as the bad guys. They don't hate
us for our freedoms, as President Bush has claimed, they hate
us for what we do with those freedoms.
Maybe
if we put aside our plans for world domination and spent as
much time and money perfecting our own country as we do trying
to perfect other countries through military intervention, political
manipulation and economic exploitation, there'd no doubt be
more people trying to emulate us and fewer people trying to
blow us up.
Coming
in issue #49: When Terrorists Strike
Copyright
© 2007 by Phil Hanson
All rights reserved.
Write
Thinking
Punctuation
the Marks of Professionals
Getting
punctuation right is critical to making your writing intelligible
and coherent. As with misspelled and misused words, misused
or missing punctuation takes your message off track and confuses
your readers. To help you avoid the avoidable, the next few
installments of Write Thinking deal with punctuation
marks, in all their many forms, with example sentences provided
for clarification.
Em
Dash ( ) and En Dash ( )
The
em dashso-called because it's the approximate width of
a typeset capital Mis the most commonly used of the various
types of dashes. It sets apart parenthetic material in the same
way that commas, colons, and parentheses do, often substituting
for them when writers desire less formality and/or more emphasis
in a particular piece of writing.
Although
personal preference largely determines which marks are used,
dashes should not be overused. Too-frequent use is indicative
of muddled thinking or poor writing skills.
Because
the em dash signifies an abrupt departure from the logical progression
of a writer's thoughts, it's used to introduce parenthetic statements
or amplifying elements into a sentence; it's also used as a
"quick-and-dirty" device for untangling the tangled
syntax of poorly constructed sentencesnot a great idea.
If
the parenthetic material comes in the middle of a sentence,
use two dashesone preceding and one followingto
set apart the material. If the parenthetic material comes at
the end of a sentence, use only a single dash to separate it
from the main part of the sentencejust as I've done here.
A
prime numberthe first few of which are 2, 3, 5, 7 and
11is a number that can only be divided evenly
by itself and by one.
The
pending legislation deals with environmental issuestoxic
waste disposal, greenhouse gas emissions, carbon sequestration,
and global climate changes.
The
em dash is also used as a mechanical device to denote interrupted
speech in dialog, to precede a source or author name following
a quote, or to precede items in a vertical list.
"The
dean askedtoldno, commandedus to take the
banners down," the chastened student related to a campus
news reporter.
"When
fear advances, logic backs away." Libbie Fudim
The
topics on tomorrow's agenda include:
Sustainable
agriculture
Renewable energy resources
Global economics
Corporate responsibility as a matter of economic policy
The
en dashlonger than a hyphen but shorter than an
em dashis used only in typeset material, where it often
replaces the hyphen in applications that denote range or span
of time. In the following examples, the en dash is equivalent
to "up to and including":
20022007
grades 58
$15$20
9:00 a.m.5:00 p.m.
TuesdaySaturday
pages 5277
Other
common instances where an en dash replaces a hyphen is between
a prefix and an open compound, as a substitute for to
between capitalized names, and to denote linkages (borders and
boundaries, treaties, partnerships, or adversarial relationships):
postIndustrial
Age technology
ParisDakar rally
MasonDixon line
U.S.China trade agreements
NewmanHaas racing
BlazersSonics game
Although
there are no rigid typographical rules regarding spacing around
dashes, evidence suggests that most editors and publishers prefer
to place dashes without spaces between them and adjacent material.
Copyright
© 2007 by Phil Hanson
All rights reserved.
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